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Read Political Notes for the latest on local, state and national politics!
Leading vs. Lagging Indicators and Early Tells on Election Night
Political Notes by Jon Fuhrman Monday, October 5. Economists put huge effort into trying to predict economic trends. As part of those efforts, they have identified “leading indicators” and “lagging indicators”: leading indicators anticipate changes, while lagging indicators confirm changes after the fact. Political pundits also fall into these two categories. Most are “lagging indicators”; they wait for repeated polling, obvious catastrophic missteps, hesitant to diverge from
Jon Fuhrman
6 days ago8 min read
After We Win in November, What Happens Then?
Political Notes by Jon Fuhrman Wednesday, September 9. As Republicans gather today and tomorrow in Dallas for their mid-term convention (aka All Praise Donald Trump), Democrats are not so quietly awaiting the November elections and our anticipated takeover of both the House and the Senate. But what will that mean practically? We’ll have Democratic Chairs of all the Congressional committees, oversight and investigative hearings, legislation passed, all of which sounds great.
Jon Fuhrman
Sep 104 min read
Taking Back the Senate in 2026
Political Notes by Jon Fuhrman Wednesday, August 12. Last month I detailed why I thought our candidate would win the Texas Senate race, and pull other Dems to victory along with him, and I talked a little about Iowa. These are just parts of what I see as a Democratic wave that’s likely to give us 60 seats – not just 51 – in the Senate. But before I tackle Iowa and Alaska and Nebraska and Idaho, it is worth noting that mainstream pundits are, slowly but surely, catching up to
Jon Fuhrman
Aug 134 min read
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